Via Opta’s expected goals (xG) model, Rice’s first free-kick had an xG of 0.037 (3.7%) and his second an xG of 0.063 (6.3%). The probability of scoring both comes in at a combined total of 0.23%. Or put in layman’s terms, a one-in-435 chance. But which one was better? BBC pundit Green, who was at...
