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When can Liverpool secure the 2024-25 Premier League title?

It is fair to say the Anfield club are champions elect now – so it is a matter of when and not if.

Statisticians Opta give Liverpool a 98.7% chance of winning the title. Arsenal, who are nine points behind having played a game more, have just a 1.3% chance of finishing top.

The Reds, who have lost just once in the league this season, need 16 points out of a possible 27 to guarantee the title, with Arsenal only able to obtain a maximum of 85 points.

Fifteen points could also be enough given Liverpool’s goal difference is vastly superior to Arsenal’s (currently +42 to +29).

In fact, given their goal difference supremacy, Slot’s side might only need four wins – as long as one of those is against the Gunners – to secure the title.

The earliest date Liverpool could win their 20th league title is 20 April, when they play Leicester away.

For that scenario to play out, Arsenal need to lose their next two matches against Everton and Brentford, and third-placed Nottingham Forest need to drop points against either Aston Villa or Everton, with Liverpool beating Everton, Fulham and West Ham in that time.

That would leave Arsenal 18 points behind Liverpool with 18 points left to play for, and a single point against Leicester would be enough for Liverpool to claim the title.



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exeter.one newsbite last confirmed 2 days ago by Emlyn Begley


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